Forex: AUD/USD Technical Analysis ? 0.93 Figure Under Fire Anew

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Talking Points:

• AUD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
• Support: 0.9205 (Apr 3 low), 0.9132 (Mar 7 high, trend line)
• Resistance: 0.9303 (Apr 1 high, 23.6% Fib exp.), 0.9363 (38.2% Fib exp.)

The Australian Dollar recoiled upward, producing the largest daily advance in nearly two weeks against its US counterpart. Prices are testing resistance at 0.9303, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that targeting the 38.2% level at 0.9363. Negative RSI divergence hints at ebbing upside momentum and warns a turn lower may be brewing ahead however. Near-term support is at 0.9205, the April 3 low. A turn below this barrier aims for 0.9132, the intersection of the March 7 high and a rising trend line set from late January.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering long with prices trading in close proximity to relevant resistance. On the other hand, taking up the short side looks premature absent a defined bearish reversal signal. With that in mind, we will remain flat for now.

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Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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